Pension Systems

 

The Political Future of Social Security in Aging Societies

Vincenzo Galasso

The MIT Press

Description:


Doubts about the ability of industrialized countries to continue to provide a sufficient level of retirement benefits to a

growing number of retirees has fueled much recent debate and inspired a variety of recommendations for reform. Few major reforms, however, have actually been implemented. In The Political Future of Social Security in Aging Societies, Vincenzo Galasso argues that the success of any reform proposals depends on political factors rather than economic theory. He offers a comparative analysis of the future political sustainability of social security in six countries with rapidly aging populations--France, Germany, Italy, Spain, the United Kingdom, and the United States. Using a quantitative approach, he finds that an aging population has political as well as economic effects: an older electorate will put pressure on politicians and policy-makers to maintain or even increase benefits.

Galasso evaluates how each country's different political constraints shape its social security system, considering such country-specific factors as the proportion of retirees in the population, the redistributive feature of each system, and the existing retirement policy in each country. He concludes that an aging population will lead to more pension spending; yet postponing retirement mitigates the impact of this, and may be the only politically viable alternative for social security reform.




Endorsements:


There is a large literature dealing with the expected evolution of pensions, relying mostly on demographic and economic

forecasts. The originality of Vincenzo Galasso's book is to argue convincingly that the future of social security and the

success of long-overdue reforms depend largely on political factors. He reminds us that a successful reform must be

not only economically sound but politically sustainable. This book is essential for anyone concerned with social

security, pensions, and the possibility of reform."

--Pierre Pestieau, University of Liège


"Vincenzo Galasso has written a penetrating and thoughtful book on a topic of undeniable importance. Most studies of

the future of social security focus on the burden that changing demographics place on the fiscal viability of social

security systems. Galasso's analysis carries the argument to the logical next step by studying the impact of a graying

population on the political support for social security reforms."

--Thomas Cooley, Paganelli-Bull Professor of Economics, New York University